forecast monthly change of inflation rate

Zonki

New Member
Joined
Jan 31, 2017
Messages
2
Hi :)

I am working on a project to forecast monthly change of inflation rate. I used SLR but the forecast doesnt seem to be correct. Could someone take a look please? :confused:

I am also not sure how to diagnose
time series (stationarity, trend, ARMA..) in Excel( is this even possible?)

I hope someone can help.
Thanks!
 

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oldbrewer

Board Regular
Joined
Apr 11, 2010
Messages
10,997
are you using previous monthly rates or looking at events liable to affect inflation ?
 

Zonki

New Member
Joined
Jan 31, 2017
Messages
2
I want to make two analyses - first based on previous rates / second based on events
For SLR i used previous rates, the second I dont know how to approach:confused: any advice? :(
 

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